Systems and Means of Informatics
2023, Volume 33, Issue 2, pp 71-78
CAUSE-AND-EFFECT RELATIONSHIPS IN ANALYSIS OF UNOBSERVABLE PROCESS PROPERTIES
- A. A. Grusho
- M. I. Zabezhailo
- V. V. Kulchenkov
- D. V. Smirnov
- E. E. Timonina
- S. Ya. Shorgin
Abstract
When implementing information technology, there exist sequences of objects that can be identified but it is difficult or impossible to observe their properties. In some objects of such sequences, an unobservable property A may appear, the detection of which is of interest. To identify objects with property A, one has to use the search for the effects of property A as the cause of such effects. If one considers a sequence of objects in which objects with property A may appear, then there are problems of assessing the probability of the existence of false objects with the identified property A when it actually does not exist (false alarms) and estimating the probability of skipping the object with property A. The work uses the determinism of the occurrence of effects when the cause appears, if there is an interaction of the object containing the cause with the object containing the observed effect. In this case, the existence of noise is allowed which makes it difficult to observe the effect when it is, and can create a false effect when the cause is absent. The methodology for assessing the probability of identifying objects with property A constructed in the work is quite easy to use but is important in assessing the solvability of a search problem.
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[+] About this article
Title
CAUSE-AND-EFFECT RELATIONSHIPS IN ANALYSIS OF UNOBSERVABLE PROCESS PROPERTIES
Journal
Systems and Means of Informatics
Volume 33, Issue 2, pp 71-78
Cover Date
2023-06-10
DOI
10.14357/08696527230207
Print ISSN
0869-6527
Publisher
Institute of Informatics Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences
Additional Links
Key words
cause-and-effect relationships; probabilistic error analysis; searching for the property in unobservable data
Authors
A. A. Grusho  , M. I. Zabezhailo , V. V. Kulchenkov  , D. V. Smirnov  ,
E. E. Timonina , and S. Ya. Shorgin
Author Affiliations
Federal Research Center "Computer Science and Control", Russian Academy of Sciences, 44-2 Vavilov Str., Moscow 119333, Russian Federation
VTB Bank, 43-1 Vorontsovskaya Str., Moscow 109147, Russian Federation
Sberbank of Russia, 19 Vavilov Str., Moscow 117999, Russian Federation
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